oscar predictions -2011- acting awards

Best Actor

Most likely winner : Colin Firth as King George VI in 'The King's Speech'. Firth commands attention in every scene. Warm is the overused adjective to describe his performance as the King but it's accurate too.

Backup Pick : James Franco as Aron Ralston in '127 Hours'. For most of the film it's Franco alone in the scene. And it's an excellent film, so that alone should be a gauge for the strength of his acting. He manages to portray a man who's self-confident enough to cause him to make his own problems but self-reliant enough to get out of them.

Most deserving (My pick): I'm all for Colin Firth. I think period pieces are immensely watchable and I think Firth deserves this. He had a lot of help from the supporting cast but he really made the movie good.

Best Actress

Most likely winner : Natalie Portman as Nina Sayers in 'Black Swan'. Captivating performance. She gets it all down. Shy and repressed but then embraces her new role as a star with the temptations and emotions that go with it. And all the ballet training is sure to count too.

Backup Pick : Annette Bening as Nic in 'The Kids are All Right'. She's had a long career and been passed over. The academy loves to give make-up awards. He performance is very good, especially for a character who's exceptionally complicated to portray. She has a lot going for her to win.

Most deserving (My pick): Natalie Portman. Because she's awesome. And Black Swan was great too.

Best Supporting Actor

Most likely winner : Christian Bale as Dicky Eklund in "The Fighter". Lost about sixty pounds and studied the real Eklund to get the Boston accent right. Always a hard worker, Bale gets his character. A crack addict, jailbird, boxing trainer isn't easy to pull off without it looking false (even when it's based on a real person). But he manages.

Backup Pick : Geoffrey Rush as Lionel Logue in "The King's Speech". A real person isn't always easy to plan, especially when they're famous. And famous for being strange. Rush plays the unorthodox Logue especially well, keeping with the established view of him but still adding something of his own to the role.

Most deserving (My pick): Jeremy Renner as James 'Gem' Coughlin in "The Town". He comes off as exceedingly violent and aggressive. A total crazy person, even crazier than the other criminals he's friends with. I think crime movies are extremely underrated and it'd be great if he won.

Best Supporting Actress

Most likely winner : Melissa Leo as Alice Ward in 'The Fighter'. Mean, selfish and catty. Trying to play it off as being a devoted mother. Leo gets the audience to believe she's self serving but also that she cares about her sons. Complex role to play but she gets it done.

Backup Pick : Helena Bonham Carter as Elizabeth Bowes-Lyon in "The King's Speech". Can't be easy to play someone as famous as the Queen Mother. Because it'll be plain when you get anything wrong. But she doesn't get anything wrong.

Most deserving (My pick): Jacki Weaver as Janine 'Smurf' Cody in 'Animal Kingdom'. Another crime-drama. Jacki Weaver as the matriarch of and Australian crime family is ruthless and unrelenting in her performance.

Oscar Predictions-Film Awards (i)

Best Director Most likely winner : Steven Spielberg for Lincoln. Leaving out Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow and Quentin Tarantino pretty much made this Spielberg's to lose. And doesn't reflect too well on the Academy either. Backup Pick : David O. Russell for Silver Linings Playbook. The production company of Weinstein have been campaigning hard for this and it's a good film with the acting performances set up well. The thing about best director is it's the easiest award to give to someone the academy likes because it's ambiguous and the academy doesn't really love Russell. Most deserving : Michel Haneke for Amour. Haneke has the most carefully crafted film here. All in all it is definitely his film in every scene. His presence is all around the film and it is an excellent film. If they give it for the greatest impact a director has on the film, this is it. Best Adapted Screenplay Most li...

(Short) Analysis of the (length of stay for) teams at World Cup 2014 - Groups A and B

I like World Cup, quite a lot, and think it's the best of all the tournaments that exist in football and very possibly in all of sport (at least for any tournament focused on one sport since the Olympics is amazing because of the variety). So I'll be trying to figure out how likely each team is to get out of the group stages and how far they'll probably go if they do. All the odds are from www.bet365.com which is the site I use most for trend spotting in sport (it's like my sport-Bloomberg). Group A Brazil- Automatically qualified as hosts and at 1/20 to qualify have the second best odds of any team to make it out of the group phase behind Argentina (who have probably the softest group). It's with good reason Brazil have such low odds and they're considered favourites. Winning or even coming second in Group A doesn't mean an easy run as it probably would result in a round of sixteen clash against either defending champions Spain or the ...

Best Films of the Decade - 2010s - Third Part

11. Get Out (2017)- Directed and written by Jordan Peele. Horror seems to be an excellent medium to describe racism and it's somewhat amazing how obvious it seems in hindsight. One of the best debuts of a director in recent times, with a script that amps up the tension marvelously and serves up a twist in the tale that was impossible to see coming. Normally horror movies are seen as niche, but this film was popular with the wide audience and also at the award ceremonies further proving everyone was able to be captured by the film's quality. There has been talk of the film fitting into horror-comedy, probably due to Peele's comedy background, but while it is never laughably funny but does serve as a clever satire on the state of racial affairs. 12. The Death of Stalin (2017) - Directed by Armando Iannuci. Written by Armando Iannuci, David Schneider and Ian Martin. Few topics are as ripe for satire as the workings of communist governments (provi...

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