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Wednesday, January 26, 2011

oscar predictions -2011- acting awards

  • Best Actor
Most likely winner : Colin Firth as King George VI in 'The King's Speech'. Firth commands attention in every scene. Warm is the overused adjective to describe his performance as the King but it's accurate too.

Backup Pick : James Franco as Aron Ralston in '127 Hours'. For most of the film it's Franco alone in the scene. And it's an excellent film, so that alone should be a gauge for the strength of his acting. He manages to portray a man who's self-confident enough to cause him to make his own problems but self-reliant enough to get out of them.

Most deserving (My pick): I'm all for Colin Firth. I think period pieces are immensely watchable and I think Firth deserves this. He had a lot of help from the supporting cast but he really made the movie good.

  • Best Actress
Most likely winner : Natalie Portman as Nina Sayers in 'Black Swan'. Captivating performance. She gets it all down. Shy and repressed but then embraces her new role as a star with the temptations and emotions that go with it. And all the ballet training is sure to count too.

Backup Pick : Annette Bening as Nic in 'The Kids are All Right'. She's had a long career and been passed over. The academy loves to give make-up awards. He performance is very good, especially for a character who's exceptionally complicated to portray. She has a lot going for her to win.

Most deserving (My pick): Natalie Portman. Because she's awesome. And Black Swan was great too.

  • Best Supporting Actor
Most likely winner : Christian Bale as Dicky Eklund in "The Fighter". Lost about sixty pounds and studied the real Eklund to get the Boston accent right. Always a hard worker, Bale gets his character. A crack addict, jailbird, boxing trainer isn't easy to pull off without it looking false (even when it's based on a real person). But he manages.

Backup Pick : Geoffrey Rush as Lionel Logue in "The King's Speech". A real person isn't always easy to plan, especially when they're famous. And famous for being strange. Rush plays the unorthodox Logue especially well, keeping with the established view of him but still adding something of his own to the role.

Most deserving (My pick): Jeremy Renner as James 'Gem' Coughlin in "The Town". He comes off as exceedingly violent and aggressive. A total crazy person, even crazier than the other criminals he's friends with. I think crime movies are extremely underrated and it'd be great if he won.

  • Best Supporting Actress
Most likely winner : Melissa Leo as Alice Ward in 'The Fighter'. Mean, selfish and catty. Trying to play it off as being a devoted mother. Leo gets the audience to believe she's self serving but also that she cares about her sons. Complex role to play but she gets it done.

Backup Pick : Helena Bonham Carter as Elizabeth Bowes-Lyon in "The King's Speech". Can't be easy to play someone as famous as the Queen Mother. Because it'll be plain when you get anything wrong. But she doesn't get anything wrong.

Most deserving (My pick): Jacki Weaver as Janine 'Smurf' Cody in 'Animal Kingdom'. Another crime-drama. Jacki Weaver as the matriarch of and Australian crime family is ruthless and unrelenting in her performance.

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