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Thursday, February 18, 2010

oscar predictions-2010-film awards (II)

  • Best Animated Feature
Most likely winner : Up- Pete Docter. Pixar Studios maintains a standard. These are the people who made Finding Nemo , The Incredibles ,Ratatouille & Wall-E (all previous winners of the award). It's safe to say they have pedigree.Up is also one of the best films of the last year, animated or not. A winner at the Golden Globes and the first animated nominee since Beauty and the Beast for the Best Picture Oscar.

Backup Pick : Fantastic Mr. Fox- Wes Anderson. The best stop motion film to be released in a long time. You could even say it brought back a dying style. Huge all-star cast and a highly acclaimed director, with the story adapted from a Roald Dahl children's classic. If not for Up it was a sure win.

Most deserving (My pick): Up - Pete Docter. A great story, totally original. A completely unlikely premise and an equally unlikely cats of characters. Another win for the imagination of the men from Pixar.

  • Best Foreign Language Film
Most likely winner :Das wei├če Band (the white ribbon) -Micheal Haneke -Germany. Perfectly cast, perfectly acted. Great narration with a feel like a novel. Haneke has had great acclaim for earlier films such as Cache and The Piano Teacher and looks likely to win a first Oscar for this film about children in a German village prior to world war I, which the director describes as a film about the origin of terrorism.

Backup Pick : Un Prophete (A Prophet) -Jacques Audiard -France. A crime-drama prison movie, set in France. The Corsician Mafia plays a large part in this. But the majority of the movie is about identity and icons, of the Arab population in France.


Most deserving (My pick): Un Prophete (A Prophet) -Jacques Audiard -France. While it isn't particularly realistic, it's time people actually realized a lot of Arabs live in France.And by people I mean filmmakers. The director said the film "creating icons, images for people who don't have images, the Arabs in France"

  • Best Picture
Most likely winner : Avatar. Biggest box office hit of all time.James Cameron's first movie in 12 years. SFX like nothing else before.And a win at the Golden Globes too. If the Academy isn't dazzled by that they're a lot more sensible that I thought.

Backup Pick : The Hurt Locker. Finally a good realistic movie about the Iraq war.From the American point of view,it's true. But the soldiers point of view. No government or political agenda. No demonizing of the opposition force.And captures perfectly the high intensity, tension filled life of explosives experts.

Most deserving (My pick): The Hurt Locker. It's the best movie of the year.That's reason enough.

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

oscar predictions-2010-film awards (I)

  • Best Director
Most likely winner : James Cameron for Avatar. Big scale, big budget and the academy loves James Cameron.Also won at the Golden Globes. Apart from that, directing interaction fictional characters and actors set in an generated world couldn't have been easy.

Backup Pick : Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker. War dramas traditionally do well and this is one of the best about the Iraq war thus far. The intensity and tension is kept up through the entire film. The director never goes into criticism of the war but always remains focused on the people who are fighting.

Most deserving (My pick): Quentin Tarantino for Inglourious Basterds. Directing a movie with so much storylines and characters can be daunting but by now we're used to Tarantino pulling it off. I think there should be some recognition for a director who never fails to disappoint and blends (critically) good cinema with popular acclaim.

  • Best Adapted Screenplay
Most likely winner : Up in the Air - Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner from Up in the Air by Walter Kirn. Winner at the Golden Globes. Manages to stay faithful to the book and capture the style of the author while also adding parts that made for a successful movie.

Backup Pick : District 9 -Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchel from the short film Alive in Joburg by Neill Blomkamp. A completely original take on extraterrestrials, showing them to be worse off and not better. Also a not so subtle dig at the apartheid era and xenophobia. Blomkamp and Tatchel take the world of the short film and build on the concepts to make District 9.


Most deserving (My pick): In the Loop-Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche from the miniseries The Thick of It by Armando Iannucci. A long shot but if you've seen the miniseries then this is the movie you want to win. One of the few good comedies of the year and a great take on international politics.

  • Best Original Screenplay
Most likely winner :A Serious Man - Joel Coen & Ethan Coen . No stars at all. The Coen brothers write a movie where everything is falling apart for a middle-aged Jewish professor. They manage to make it humorous although serious questions concerning religion, family and death remain present.

Backup Pick : Inglourious Basterds- Quentin Tarantino. A men on a mission film partly like The Dirty Dozen and partly like The Good,The Bad and The Ugly. Tarantino develops an alternative timeline WWII film and creates an epic fueled by the violence of war.

Most deserving (My pick): As much as I'd like to go for Up, the Coen Brothers have written the script for a movie unlike any other I can remember seeing. That has to give the edge because the others at least have a history to fall back on.

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

oscar predictions -2010 -acting awards

  • Best Actor
Most likely winner : Jeff Bridges as Bad Blake in 'Crazy Heart'. A boring movie, so slowly paced that it's effort to watch any scene that Bad Blake isn't in. Jeff Bridges portrayal of an aging, alcoholic country singer drives the entire movie.

Backup Pick : Colin Firth as George Falconer in 'A Single Man'. A convincing and moving portrayal a college professor dealing with the death of his gay lover.Set through one day, the idea of a man who sees nothing to live for is accurately conveyed.

Most deserving (My pick): Morgan Freeman as Nelson Mandela in 'Invictus'. I always think portrayals of real life people are more difficult, especially when they're world renowned figures because every tries to pick up flaws. Freeman comes close to Mandela not just in looks but in the personality and more importantly the attitude prevalent at that time.

  • Best Actress
Most Likely Winner: Sandra Bullock as Leigh Anne Tuohy in 'The Blind Side'. Sandra Bullock has been dominating in the dramatic section of the awards season with a Golden Globe, SAG and Critic's Choice Award. A surer sign that the Oscar will be going to her is hard to see. The role of a white woman who adopts a black high school student and then helps him to achieve success in sports is Bullock's strongest performance to date.

Backup Pick: Meryl Streep as Julia Child in 'Julie & Julia'. Also comes into the Oscars with a strong trail of awards in its wake, this time in the comedy section. Playing the cook who brought French cuisine to everyday America , Streep shows the doubts and hardships Child had to do just that. The Academy's preference for drama over comedy is all that stops this from being the #1 prediction.


Most deserving (My Pick):
Carey Mulligan as Jenny Miller in 'An Education'. Coming of age film in the 1960s, set in a backdrop of Existentialism and French culture by an English schoolgirl. Mulligan manages to go from an A level student with university ambition to someone who sees university as a waste and then back to university ambition after everything falls apart.

  • Best Supporting Actor

Most Likely Winner:
Christoph Waltz as Col. Hans Landa in "Inglourious Basterds". For the last two years this award has gone to a villain. It's likely to go one again this year. Charismatically evil in four languages, Waltz stole every scene he was in and kept you wishing to see more of him.

Backup Pick: Stanley Tucci as George Harvey in 'The Lovely Bones'. Still a villian. George Harvey is your definite serial killer, with strange mannerisms and a completely solitary life. You can never see him on the screen without a sense of uneasiness, even before you know he's the killer. Tucci delivers the role with great energy which simmers just below the surface.

Most Deserving (My Pick): I think the front runner is it this time. Christoph Waltz deserves the Oscar and the only thing that could block him is if the decision making goes by means other who deserves the award.

  • Best Supporting Actress
Most Deserving: Mo'Nique as Mary Lee Johnston in 'Precious'. Academy Award winner Monique is something most people never thought they'd have to say.Get used to it. With the portrayal of the most evil character who isn't a full fledged villain in some time, Mo'Nique manages to convince that the character isn't vindictive because she has to be but because she can be.

Backup Pick:
It's really wide open, mostly because of Mo'Nique's obvious domination. Vera Fermiga and Anna Kendrick compete with each other for screen time in "Up in the Air" which potentially hurts them. Penelope Cruz also has to fight for screen presence and time with a multitude of other stars in "Nine". And Maggie Gyllenhaal never manages to seem to add to 'Crazy Heart' but that could be just because of the force of Jeff Bridges.

Most Deserving (My Pick): Mo'Nique. Obviously. She's got this category in the bag.And deserves it too.