oscar predictions-2010-film awards (I)

Best Director

Most likely winner : James Cameron for Avatar. Big scale, big budget and the academy loves James Cameron.Also won at the Golden Globes. Apart from that, directing interaction fictional characters and actors set in an generated world couldn't have been easy.

Backup Pick : Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker. War dramas traditionally do well and this is one of the best about the Iraq war thus far. The intensity and tension is kept up through the entire film. The director never goes into criticism of the war but always remains focused on the people who are fighting.

Most deserving (My pick): Quentin Tarantino for Inglourious Basterds. Directing a movie with so much storylines and characters can be daunting but by now we're used to Tarantino pulling it off. I think there should be some recognition for a director who never fails to disappoint and blends (critically) good cinema with popular acclaim.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Most likely winner : Up in the Air - Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner from Up in the Air by Walter Kirn. Winner at the Golden Globes. Manages to stay faithful to the book and capture the style of the author while also adding parts that made for a successful movie.

Backup Pick : District 9 -Neill Blomkamp and Terri Tatchel from the short film Alive in Joburg by Neill Blomkamp. A completely original take on extraterrestrials, showing them to be worse off and not better. Also a not so subtle dig at the apartheid era and xenophobia. Blomkamp and Tatchel take the world of the short film and build on the concepts to make District 9.

Most deserving (My pick): In the Loop-Jesse Armstrong, Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci, Tony Roche from the miniseries The Thick of It by Armando Iannucci. A long shot but if you've seen the miniseries then this is the movie you want to win. One of the few good comedies of the year and a great take on international politics.

Best Original Screenplay

Most likely winner :A Serious Man - Joel Coen & Ethan Coen . No stars at all. The Coen brothers write a movie where everything is falling apart for a middle-aged Jewish professor. They manage to make it humorous although serious questions concerning religion, family and death remain present.

Backup Pick : Inglourious Basterds- Quentin Tarantino. A men on a mission film partly like The Dirty Dozen and partly like The Good,The Bad and The Ugly. Tarantino develops an alternative timeline WWII film and creates an epic fueled by the violence of war.

Most deserving (My pick): As much as I'd like to go for Up, the Coen Brothers have written the script for a movie unlike any other I can remember seeing. That has to give the edge because the others at least have a history to fall back on.

Oscar Predictions-Film Awards (i)

Best Director Most likely winner : Steven Spielberg for Lincoln. Leaving out Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow and Quentin Tarantino pretty much made this Spielberg's to lose. And doesn't reflect too well on the Academy either. Backup Pick : David O. Russell for Silver Linings Playbook. The production company of Weinstein have been campaigning hard for this and it's a good film with the acting performances set up well. The thing about best director is it's the easiest award to give to someone the academy likes because it's ambiguous and the academy doesn't really love Russell. Most deserving : Michel Haneke for Amour. Haneke has the most carefully crafted film here. All in all it is definitely his film in every scene. His presence is all around the film and it is an excellent film. If they give it for the greatest impact a director has on the film, this is it. Best Adapted Screenplay Most li...

(Short) Analysis of the (length of stay for) teams at World Cup 2014 - Groups A and B

I like World Cup, quite a lot, and think it's the best of all the tournaments that exist in football and very possibly in all of sport (at least for any tournament focused on one sport since the Olympics is amazing because of the variety). So I'll be trying to figure out how likely each team is to get out of the group stages and how far they'll probably go if they do. All the odds are from www.bet365.com which is the site I use most for trend spotting in sport (it's like my sport-Bloomberg). Group A Brazil- Automatically qualified as hosts and at 1/20 to qualify have the second best odds of any team to make it out of the group phase behind Argentina (who have probably the softest group). It's with good reason Brazil have such low odds and they're considered favourites. Winning or even coming second in Group A doesn't mean an easy run as it probably would result in a round of sixteen clash against either defending champions Spain or the ...

Best Films of the Decade - 2010s - Third Part

11. Get Out (2017)- Directed and written by Jordan Peele. Horror seems to be an excellent medium to describe racism and it's somewhat amazing how obvious it seems in hindsight. One of the best debuts of a director in recent times, with a script that amps up the tension marvelously and serves up a twist in the tale that was impossible to see coming. Normally horror movies are seen as niche, but this film was popular with the wide audience and also at the award ceremonies further proving everyone was able to be captured by the film's quality. There has been talk of the film fitting into horror-comedy, probably due to Peele's comedy background, but while it is never laughably funny but does serve as a clever satire on the state of racial affairs. 12. The Death of Stalin (2017) - Directed by Armando Iannuci. Written by Armando Iannuci, David Schneider and Ian Martin. Few topics are as ripe for satire as the workings of communist governments (provi...

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