oscar prediction - 2011 - film awards (I)

Best Director

Most likely winner : David Fincher for The Social Network. Not easy to direct a film where everybody has an idea of how the characters should be, which is inevitable for real, famous people as the subject. David Fincher gets the entire aura of impatience, assured-ness and brilliance, all tinged with irony, to show up .

Backup Pick : Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan. Boldness. That's the word for the direction of the film. Because you can't make a film like this without wanting to create something spectacular that makes a statement. And Aronofsky does, indeed, put out a strong statement about competitiveness.

Most deserving : David Fincher for The Social Network. Difficult to driect. I was completely convinced the movie would be junk before I saw it. It's nice to be proven wrong. And I just can't give this film enough praise.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Most likely winner : The Social Network by Aaron Sorkin from The Accidental Billionaires by Ben Mezrich. There were a lot of ways to go wrong. There was almost no way to make this a good movie. But Sorkin did it. He made it a great movie.

Backup Pick : True Grit by Ethan Coen and Joel Coen from True Grit by Charles Portis. Because of the classic John Wayne film of the same name, the scrutiny would be very intense. The screenplay holds more to the novel than the first film but it's in no way any less good than the original film. It's an excellent Western (Hollywood needs more westerns), but the Coen brothers have their adapted screenplay Oscar already and it was for a better adaptation.

Most deserving (My pick): Toy Story 3 by Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton, and Lee Unkrich; characters based on Toy Story and Toy Story 2. The academy changed the award specifications so that the award would encompass remakes and character re-uses too. So in that case, Toy Story 3 falls under it. It's a trilogy, difficult for the third movie to live up usually. As good as The Social Network is, there is a book to base upon. The characters aren't new in Toy Story but the story is. And it's a great story which appeals to both adults and children. It should win but won't most likely.

Best Original Screenplay

Most likely winner :The King's Speech by David Seidler. An original story about well-known people with well-documented problems. Still a fresh perspective. It's not easy to do. In essence it's a story of triumph, both for Prince Albert and for the writer, formerly down-and-out David Seidler. The academy loves that kind of story.

Backup Pick : The Kids are all Right by Lisa Cholodenko and Lisa Blumberg. If emphasis was placed on 'original', then this story about two mothers, their children and the meeting of their sperm donor is as original as you get. It's like nothing else ever written.Yet.

Most deserving (My pick): The Fighter by Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy and Eric Johnson. I just really like boxing movies.

Oscar Predictions-Film Awards (i)

Best Director Most likely winner : Steven Spielberg for Lincoln. Leaving out Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow and Quentin Tarantino pretty much made this Spielberg's to lose. And doesn't reflect too well on the Academy either. Backup Pick : David O. Russell for Silver Linings Playbook. The production company of Weinstein have been campaigning hard for this and it's a good film with the acting performances set up well. The thing about best director is it's the easiest award to give to someone the academy likes because it's ambiguous and the academy doesn't really love Russell. Most deserving : Michel Haneke for Amour. Haneke has the most carefully crafted film here. All in all it is definitely his film in every scene. His presence is all around the film and it is an excellent film. If they give it for the greatest impact a director has on the film, this is it. Best Adapted Screenplay Most li...

(Short) Analysis of the (length of stay for) teams at World Cup 2014 - Groups A and B

I like World Cup, quite a lot, and think it's the best of all the tournaments that exist in football and very possibly in all of sport (at least for any tournament focused on one sport since the Olympics is amazing because of the variety). So I'll be trying to figure out how likely each team is to get out of the group stages and how far they'll probably go if they do. All the odds are from www.bet365.com which is the site I use most for trend spotting in sport (it's like my sport-Bloomberg). Group A Brazil- Automatically qualified as hosts and at 1/20 to qualify have the second best odds of any team to make it out of the group phase behind Argentina (who have probably the softest group). It's with good reason Brazil have such low odds and they're considered favourites. Winning or even coming second in Group A doesn't mean an easy run as it probably would result in a round of sixteen clash against either defending champions Spain or the ...

Best Films of the Decade - 2010s - Third Part

11. Get Out (2017)- Directed and written by Jordan Peele. Horror seems to be an excellent medium to describe racism and it's somewhat amazing how obvious it seems in hindsight. One of the best debuts of a director in recent times, with a script that amps up the tension marvelously and serves up a twist in the tale that was impossible to see coming. Normally horror movies are seen as niche, but this film was popular with the wide audience and also at the award ceremonies further proving everyone was able to be captured by the film's quality. There has been talk of the film fitting into horror-comedy, probably due to Peele's comedy background, but while it is never laughably funny but does serve as a clever satire on the state of racial affairs. 12. The Death of Stalin (2017) - Directed by Armando Iannuci. Written by Armando Iannuci, David Schneider and Ian Martin. Few topics are as ripe for satire as the workings of communist governments (provi...

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