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Monday, February 21, 2011

oscar prediction - 2011 - film awards (I)

  • Best Director
Most likely winner : David Fincher for The Social Network. Not easy to direct a film where everybody has an idea of how the characters should be, which is inevitable for real, famous people as the subject. David Fincher gets the entire aura of impatience, assured-ness and brilliance, all tinged with irony, to show up .

Backup Pick : Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan. Boldness. That's the word for the direction of the film. Because you can't make a film like this without wanting to create something spectacular that makes a statement. And Aronofsky does, indeed, put out a strong statement about competitiveness.

Most deserving : David Fincher for The Social Network. Difficult to driect. I was completely convinced the movie would be junk before I saw it. It's nice to be proven wrong. And I just can't give this film enough praise.

  • Best Adapted Screenplay
Most likely winner : The Social Network by Aaron Sorkin from The Accidental Billionaires by Ben Mezrich. There were a lot of ways to go wrong. There was almost no way to make this a good movie. But Sorkin did it. He made it a great movie.

Backup Pick : True Grit by Ethan Coen and Joel Coen from True Grit by Charles Portis. Because of the classic John Wayne film of the same name, the scrutiny would be very intense. The screenplay holds more to the novel than the first film but it's in no way any less good than the original film. It's an excellent Western (Hollywood needs more westerns), but the Coen brothers have their adapted screenplay Oscar already and it was for a better adaptation.

Most deserving (My pick): Toy Story 3 by Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton, and Lee Unkrich; characters based on Toy Story and Toy Story 2. The academy changed the award specifications so that the award would encompass remakes and character re-uses too. So in that case, Toy Story 3 falls under it. It's a trilogy, difficult for the third movie to live up usually. As good as The Social Network is, there is a book to base upon. The characters aren't new in Toy Story but the story is. And it's a great story which appeals to both adults and children. It should win but won't most likely.
  • Best Original Screenplay
Most likely winner :The King's Speech by David Seidler. An original story about well-known people with well-documented problems. Still a fresh perspective. It's not easy to do. In essence it's a story of triumph, both for Prince Albert and for the writer, formerly down-and-out David Seidler. The academy loves that kind of story.

Backup Pick : The Kids are all Right by Lisa Cholodenko and Lisa Blumberg. If emphasis was placed on 'original', then this story about two mothers, their children and the meeting of their sperm donor is as original as you get. It's like nothing else ever written.Yet.

Most deserving (My pick): The Fighter by Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy and Eric Johnson. I just really like boxing movies.

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