a blog about a lot of things

Oscar Predictions -2017-Acting Awards Best Actor Most Likely Winner: Casey Affleck  as Lee Chandler in  Manchester by the Sea.  This award is not as much of a lock as it once seemed to be. Affleck's allegations of sexual harassment are getting more play in the media which could hurt his chances. And also, no award is sure when Denzel Washington is in the race. This takes nothing away from Affleck's performance in the film which is nothing short of exemplary. He's managed to portray a wide range of emotions in this very emotional film and hits all the right notes. Moving between immature to world-weary as the film moves, it manages to be one of the strongest portrayals of a emotionally suffering character in recent memory.   Backup Pick:  Denzel Washington  as Troy Maxson in  Fences.  Denzel's win in the SAG awards is what has been widely credited as turning this Oscar into a two horse race (which it definitely wa...

Best Actor Most likely winner : Colin Firth as King George VI in 'The King's Speech'. Firth commands attention in every scene. Warm is the overused adjective to describe his performance as the King but it's accurate too. Backup Pick : James Franco as Aron Ralston in '127 Hours'. For most of the film it's Franco alone in the scene. And it's an excellent film, so that alone should be a gauge for the strength of his acting. He manages to portray a man who's self-confident enough to cause him to make his own problems but self-reliant enough to get out of them. Most deserving (My pick): I'm all for Colin Firth. I think period pieces are immensely watchable and I think Firth deserves this. He had a lot of help from the supporting cast but he really made the movie good. Best Actress Most likely winner : Natalie Portman as Nina Sayers in 'Black Swan'. Captivating performance. She gets it all down. Shy and repressed but then embraces her new rol...

The criteria for this is that only actors/actresses with one previous Oscar nomination or less are eligible (no Peter O'Toole). Also only first time future winners, so no one who has won an Oscar previously. The movies used for justification (minimum 2) will not include the Oscar nominated role. Since it's potential future, trying not to include actors who haven't had a good recent performance (no Steve Martin) 15. Viggo Mortensen justification : The Road; Appaloosa, A History of Violence; 14. Mathieu Amalric justification : The Diving Bell and the Butterfly; Kings and Queen; Munich; Un Conte de Noel 13. Natalie Portman justification: V for Vendetta; Brothers; Cold Mountain; garden state 12. Sergi Lopez justification: dirty pretty things; Pan's labyrinth; Harry, un ami qui vous veut du bien 11. Tony Leung Chiu-Wai justification: Lust, Caution; In the Mood for Love;Internal Affairs; Chungking Express;2046 10. Gael Garcia Bernal justification : Amores Perros; Y tu mama ta...